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When Last Should Come First

Excess Returns

Monthly insights for investment marketing and sales professionals

February 2011

Performance is key to understanding any investment product. So why is performance often treated as an afterthought in investment marketing materials — buried at the tail end of a pitch book, for example, where it is prone to neglect and misunderstanding? In this issue we consider the question, “Where does performance belong?” along with some of the myths and misinformation that have shaped performance presentation strategy.

With best wishes,

Liz Hecht
Founder, Principal and Director of Research

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Volume 1 | Number 2

In This Issue

When Last Should Come First

The Performance Guy

Hasta La Vista!

Alpha Partners is an investment marketing firm specializing in research and presentation strategy. Our goal is to create alpha (excess returns) by helping investment firms win, keep and diversify assets under management.

Alpha Partners LLC
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www.alphainvestmentmarketing.com

When Last Should Come First

I’m on the phone with my friend M, a sales professional, who tells me with some dismay that her boss recently decreed that performance — even top-quartile numbers — should always appear at the end of every pitch book for every product. “Come again?” I say. “Shouldn’t strong performance come first? Isn’t that what you’re selling?” Yes, she explains, but her boss believes that performance (results) must by definition follow philosophy, process and people (the strategy and resources applied to getting results). I used to agree with this view …

… Flash back to New York City about 15 years ago when I am having lunch with the Head of Sales, let’s call him Z, for a well-known investment company. I am hoping that Z might give our company some business, but Z keeps saying things like, “Let’s face it, at the end of the day all that really matters is performance.” “Yeah, right,” I groan inwardly, “until your team underperforms, which, inevitably, it will.” This was back when I, too, believed that the track record must logically come last.

Whether performance comes first or last is an important question with different answers depending on the situation. I’ve thought about this for years and worked with different companies on different approaches. Here are some key lessons that I’ve learned:

  1. Sell your own track record — don’t let consultants do it for you. The received wisdom at certain investment firms is: “We don’t present performance up front because the consultant already has covered performance with the prospective client.” Or (a variation on this same theme): “Good numbers are a given; all of our competitors have good numbers, give or take a few basis points. If we didn’t have good numbers, we wouldn’t be here.” Of course consultants will already have presented your numbers to prospective clients. But you cannot wholly rely on consultants to present what really matters: the story behind the numbers.
  2. Tell the story behind the numbers. This is how you not only win business but also create loyal clients who are more likely to stick with you even during those inevitable periods of underperformance. The story behind the numbers proves that your performance results mainly from skill as opposed to luck; it provides context, explaining why your numbers, while perhaps lower than those of a competitor at a given point, nonetheless are more likely to preserve capital over time. Providing context sets expectations, allowing clients to understand why you avoid certain industry sectors and therefore underperform when those sectors are in favor … or why you are likely to perform better in a down market than in an up market.
  3. Keep the portfolio front and center — do not sacrifice the product on the altar of philosophy, process and people. An unfortunate by-product of putting a key portfolio attribute such as performance last seems to be that all product attributes — performance attribution, portfolio composition, portfolio characteristics — are lumped last along with performance. In practice, given short attention spans and probable time cuts, this means that many investment presentations only barely touch on or completely neglect what matters most: the portfolio and portfolio performance. As a result, in my experience, the typical final presentation proceeds rather like a waiter who describes the history of the restaurant, the professional biographies of everyone in the kitchen, the chef’s beliefs about cooking, the process for preparing the food and then finally, at long last, the specials on the menu that night.
  4. Be flexible. What shocked me about my friend M’s story is her boss’s inflexible all-performance-last-all-the-time mindset. Expediting the focus on performance is particularly important when your numbers are strong. As in, “If you’ve got it, flaunt it!” But what about those inevitable periods of underperformance when your numbers require explanation? At such times it may well make sense to lead with the philosophy, process and people. In other words, create a foundation for understanding first — as opposed to starting with an out-of-context explanation for recent underperformance. The presentation strategy you follow during periods of underperformance will depend on many different variables: the extent of the underperformance, the reason for it and what’s going on with the market as well as with competing managers. As I have discussed in another article (“How to Stay Up When Your Numbers Are Down”), under one set of circumstances, you may need to take your product off the shelf for awhile; under another, you might credibly position it as the contrarian option.

At the end of the day (just kidding … when will politicians and financial executives stop saying this?), Z never gave us any business and M is now happy at another firm with a more flexible, strategic approach. And what about us? Lucky us, we increasingly have the good fortune to work with firms that are happy to put their long-term track record front and center. After all, alpha is the bull’s-eye. Why shouldn’t it come first whenever possible?

The Performance Guy

Presenting performance effectively requires understanding diverse metrics (Jensen’s alpha, anyone)? So I was delighted when one of our clients told us about Investment Performance Guy, published by performance measurement guru David Spaulding of The Spaulding Group. This blog and David’s newsletter provide a lucid, engaging look at different ways to think about the numbers. David’s January 25, 2011 blog post, for example, poses a question many people are asking right now, “How many risk measures are enough?”.

Hasta La Vista!

Even as risk measures proliferate, relatively few money managers measure one of the biggest risks to portfolio performance: ineffective selling. Based on analysis of $500 billion in professionally managed equity portfolios, Cabot Research has shown that a surprising number of managers give all of their alpha and more back by selling at the wrong time. In an article for Value Investor Insight, Mike Ervolini, Cabot’s CEO, explores the behavioral finance drivers behind ineffective selling. In a nutshell, explains Mike, “buying focuses on the potential for positive future events whereas selling very often focuses on pessimistic past events.” As a result, investment companies spend more time, creative energy and marketing copy on buying than on selling. From both an investment and a marketing standpoint, an effective sell discipline thus can become a decisive competitive advantage.

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© 2011 Alpha Partners LLC Alpha Partners LLC
Marketing for Excess Returns®
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April 2025

The Art of Uncertainty

Slashed spending by CEOs. Postponed or canceled construction projects. Jobs being cut and delays in hiring. “The unpredictability of President Trump’s stop-start trade offensive,” The Wall Street Journal noted on April 28, “is paralyzing companies on every front except one―taking an ax to costs.” Where will it all end? No one can know. And that’s why now is a very good time to read a book about the art of uncertainty. Professor David Spiegelhalter helps readers understand how humans have learned to measure, manage and survive the unknown. In addition to key insights about putting uncertainty into numbers, the author provides valuable lessons in successful strategies for communicating uncertainty.

January 2025

The Algebra of Wealth

Income. Compound interest. Investments. Debt. Taxes, Inflation … All play a role in building a profitable life. But so do character traits such as stoicism, focus and making the most of present time. In The Algebra of Wealth, Scott Galloway, a marketing professor at NYU Stern School of Business and a serial entrepreneur, provides expert advice on how to generate income and turn income into wealth. Based on personal experience and behavioral research, Professor Galloway offers vital insights that transcend the typical personal finance book, covering topics such as the futility of worry, treating expense management as a “rational obsession” and finding one’s true identity through hard work as opposed to pursuing a passion.

October 2024

The Money Trap

In this tale of Shakespearean proportions, Alok Sama describes his experiences working for one of the most prolific and audacious venture investment entities, SoftBank’s Vision Fund. Fund investments include ByteDance, Nvidia, Arm and Alibaba―along with legendary failures such as WeWork and Sam Bankman Fried’s FTX. At some point in his time as president and CFO of SoftBank, the author becomes aware of a plot to discredit him and a colleague―a plot involving surveillance of his family, a smear campaign in the press, bogus legal threats and even a honey trap. While hoping to learn who and why, the reader gets a fascinating crash course in early-stage tech investing.

August 2024

The Coming Wave

The Coming Wave describes how new technologies such as AI and synthetic biology are going to change the world. Not this year or next but over multiple decades. As a co-founder of two AI companies and the current head of AI at Microsoft, the author is well positioned to understand and communicate everything that can go right with the coming tsunami of new technologies―and everything that can go wrong. This book makes a compelling, heartfelt case for “claiming the benefits of the wave without being overwhelmed by its harms.”

February 2024

The Devil Never Sleeps

The devil is the potential for pandemics, climate change disasters, terrorist attacks and massive computer hacks. A leader in crisis management and homeland security, Juliette Kayyem documents in depth the perils of underreacting to the inevitable. By dismissing harbingers of doom as mere noise, countries and companies risk turning emergencies into calamities, local diseases into global pandemics and manageable negative events into existential crises. This book provides invaluable lessons on how to prepare for the devil, how to limit harm when the inevitable crises do occur and how to pivot in time for future disasters.

October 2023

Wealth, War & Wisdom

The reality of war never goes away. “Once every couple of generations,” writes Barton Biggs in Wealth, War & Wisdom, “an epic event occurs that destroys accumulated wealth.” The U.S., Australia and Sweden “have been lucky―so far―but in Europe, the apocalypse has happened in one form or another on a regular, generational basis.” In addition to tracking the fascinating history of the markets during WW II, this book explores two primary enemies of wealth during war: complacency (it couldn’t happen here, not to us) and failure to diversify by country and asset class.

August 2023

The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest

Destined to become a classic of economic history, Edward Chancellor’s book provides an intensively researched compendium of all the economic woes that can result from excessively low interest rates. Starting with the ancient origins of interest, the book moves to the unintended consequences of zero-bound (and even negative) interest rates, and concludes with the impact of ultra-low rates on emerging markets.

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